TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 3:22 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the scheduled tennis match between Elina Svitolina and Hanyu Guo in the Wuhan Tennis Open will be completed. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Wuhan Tennis Open: Completed Match: Elina Svitolina vs Hanyu Guo”. Resolution will be based on the official scores reported at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the originally scheduled match time of October 15, 2026 at 12:30AM ET, as that is when the first signals regarding match commencement—and therefore completion—will become available.
This market refers to the tennis match between Elina Svitolina and Hanyu Guo in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elina Svitolina' if Elina Svitolina advances against Hanyu Guo. This market will resolve to 'Hanyu Guo' if Hanyu Guo advances against Elina Svitolina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns or promotional considerations, while this market relies purely on individuals wagering their own capital. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the potential outcome of the Svitolina vs Guo match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes of the Svitolina vs Guo match. The price of each share reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time forecast. The market efficiently incorporates information as traders react to news and analysis.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Svitolina vs Guo match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result declared by the tournament organizers. The platform will then verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome wins. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the Svitolina vs Guo match, or even weather forecasts impacting the playing surface, might also cause price movements. Major upsets in the tournament overall could also affect how traders assess the probabilities, leading to changes in volume and price.