TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 4:25 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Dayana Yastremska will advance against Cristina Bucsa in their Wuhan Tennis Open match, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to Dayana Yastremska winning the match, with resolution based on scores reported at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the outcome will be determined by the result of the fixture on October 11, 2026, and will resolve this market.
This market refers to the tennis match between Dayana Yastremska and Cristina Bucsa in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dayana Yastremska' if Dayana Yastremska advances against Cristina Bucsa. This market will resolve to 'Cristina Bucsa' if Cristina Bucsa advances against Dayana Yastremska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe one outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a large influx of information or significant events impact perceptions of the match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where shares representing each possible outcome are bought and sold. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the match’s potential results. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand for these shares.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Yastremska vs Bucsa match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and distribute funds accordingly. This process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could shift market sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player might also affect perceptions of their form and chances of winning. Major upsets in the tournament leading up to the Yastremska vs Bucsa match could also cause traders to reassess their predictions and adjust their positions, leading to price fluctuations.