TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 6:16 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Kasatkina and Jelena Ostapenko in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria Kasatkina' if Daria Kasatkina advances against Jelena Ostapenko. This market will resolve to 'Jelena Ostapenko' if Jelena Ostapenko advances against Daria Kasatkina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Kasatkina and Jelena Ostapenko in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria Kasatkina' if Daria Kasatkina advances against Jelena Ostapenko. This market will resolve to 'Jelena Ostapenko' if Jelena Ostapenko advances against Daria Kasatkina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it might indicate that the market perceives information differently or that the sportsbook's assessment is influenced by factors like public betting biases. It’s worth comparing both to form your own informed opinion on the likely result of the match.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kasatkina vs Ostapenko match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The market will determine which player won the match, and the outcome will be settled accordingly. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final market prices at resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match analysis from tennis experts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players leading up to the event could also have an impact. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could indicate a change in expectations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves before it resolves.