TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 9:23 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the tennis match between Ann Li and Iga Swiatek in the Wuhan Tennis Open will be completed. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to the outcome of “Wuhan Tennis Open: Completed Match: Ann Li vs Iga Swiatek.” Resolution will be determined by the official scores reported on https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the originally scheduled match time of October 16, 2026 at 7:00AM ET, as that is when the event window begins and the potential for resolution starts.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ann Li and Iga Swiatek in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ann Li' if Ann Li advances against Iga Swiatek. This market will resolve to 'Iga Swiatek' if Iga Swiatek advances against Ann Li. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and to balance action, while this market is driven purely by traders' willingness to buy or sell. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual result of the Li vs Swiatek match.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Li vs Swiatek match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 23, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could impact trading activity. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the Li vs Swiatek match might also affect perceptions of player form and confidence. Furthermore, major announcements related to the tournament itself, such as weather delays or rule changes, could introduce volatility and cause the market to reprice. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in this market.