TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:16 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Wuhan San Zhen FC and Shanghai Shenhua FC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Wuhan San Zhen FC" if Wuhan San Zhen FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Shanghai Shenhua FC" if Shanghai Shenhua FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Wuhan San Zhen FC and Shanghai Shenhua FC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Wuhan San Zhen FC" if Wuhan San Zhen FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Shanghai Shenhua FC" if Shanghai Shenhua FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, risk assessments, or simply variations in public opinion. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially exceeding the responsiveness of fixed-odds sportsbooks. Examining these differences can reveal valuable insights into market perceptions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular team scoring first, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of collective expectations. The current volume traded suggests considerable interest in this particular matchup.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Wuhan San Zhen FC versus Shanghai Shenhua FC match. The official match records will serve as the definitive source for determining the winning outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is officially declared and verified. Any disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s standard procedures.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Wuhan San Zhen FC or Shanghai Shenhua FC would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or key player availability will be closely watched. Any significant public endorsements or analyses predicting a specific outcome could also move the market, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly.