TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:29 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of the 2026 WTA Beijing professional tennis tournament, focusing on which player among a large field will claim victory. The resolution depends solely on the official tournament results, with specific conditions applied if any listed participant is unable to compete.
If Aryna Sabalenka wins the 2026 WTA Beijing professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Coco Gauff wins the 2026 WTA Beijing professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mirra Andreeva wins the 2026 WTA Beijing professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Linda Noskova wins the 2026 WTA Beijing professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Elina Svitolina wins the 2026 WTA Beijing professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Karolina Muchova wins the 2026 WTA Beijing professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Iga Swiatek wins the 2026 WTA Beijing professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Belinda Bencic wins the 2026 WTA Beijing professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Iva Jovic wins the 2026 WTA Beijing professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Diana Shnaider wins the 2026 WTA Beijing professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Naomi Osaka wins the 2026 WTA Beijing professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Elise Mertens wins the 2026 WTA Beijing professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marie Bouzkova wins the 2026 WTA Beijing professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ekaterina Alexandrova wins the 2026 WTA Beijing professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sara Bejlek wins the 2026 WTA Beijing professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ann Li wins the 2026 WTA Beijing professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jelena Ostapenko wins the 2026 WTA Beijing professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Maria Sakkari wins the 2026 WTA Beijing professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nikola Bartunkova wins the 2026 WTA Beijing professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Liudmila Samsonova wins the 2026 WTA Beijing professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Donna Vekic wins the 2026 WTA Beijing professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daria Snigur wins the 2026 WTA Beijing professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Qinwen Zheng wins the 2026 WTA Beijing professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Viktorija Golubic wins the 2026 WTA Beijing professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kamilla Rakhimova wins the 2026 WTA Beijing professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Taylah Preston wins the 2026 WTA Beijing professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sinja Kraus wins the 2026 WTA Beijing professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Polina Kudermetova wins the 2026 WTA Beijing professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dayana Yastremska wins the 2026 WTA Beijing professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alina Charaeva wins the 2026 WTA Beijing professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sonay Kartal wins the 2026 WTA Beijing professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Xinran Sun wins the 2026 WTA Beijing professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. If there's a significant discrepancy, it might indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that a different weighting is applied to various factors influencing the outcome. It's common to see convergence as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each player winning the WTA Beijing tournament. The price of a contract reflects the market's current assessment of that player’s chances. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate probabilities, as profitable trades depend on correctly anticipating the outcome. The market dynamically adjusts as new information emerges and traders update their beliefs, creating a constantly evolving prediction of the tournament winner.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results published by the WTA for the WTA Beijing tournament, identifying the player who wins the final match. The platform will then determine the winning contract based on this official result. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in form, or unexpected results in preceding tournaments would likely cause shifts in the odds. Major upsets in early rounds of the WTA Beijing tournament itself will also have a substantial impact. Furthermore, weather conditions or any controversies surrounding the event could also move the market. Public sentiment and expert analysis, while not directly reflected in the market, can influence trader behavior and contribute to price movements.