TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional FA Cup soccer match between Wrexham AFC and Ipswich Town FC scheduled for February 13, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess the outcome within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The group includes binary markets for each team's victory and a draw outcome.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market includes an explicit cancellation clause (resolves YES if game is canceled with no make-up), while Kalshi's three-outcome structure does not address cancellation. This creates asymmetric payoff scenarios if the match is canceled entirely.Hero Tip:
Monitor official FA Cup communications for any postponement or cancellation announcements. If the match is canceled with no rescheduled date, Polymarket's draw market will resolve YES, but Kalshi's resolution remains unclear. Request clarification from Kalshi before the event date. For hedging purposes, treat Polymarket's draw as a cancellation insurance product.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets (Ipswich win, Wrexham win, draw). Draw market explicitly resolves YES if game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Otherwise resolves NO. Postponement keeps market open. Resolution window: 90 minutes regular play plus stoppage time only.Kalshi:
Three mutually exclusive outcomes (Wrexham wins, Tie, Ipswich wins) presented as a single event. No explicit cancellation clause provided. All three outcomes assume the match is completed. Resolution window: 90 minutes regular play plus stoppage time only.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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