TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$238,896,186

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,985,204,718

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,897,934,485

408,127

Markets across

39,552

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,429

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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WR Fantasy Football Week 4 Leader?
kalshi

WR Fantasy Football Week 4 Leader?

Volume:
$1,446

Tetairoa McMillan

 - Kalshi

Tetairoa McMillan - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 11:44 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tetairoa McMillan

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$422
N/A
N/A
$422
Settled
Yes
kalshi

CeeDee Lamb

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$354
N/A
N/A
$244
Settled
No
kalshi

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$169
N/A
N/A
$154
Settled
No
kalshi

Amon-Ra St. Brown

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$160
N/A
N/A
$145
Settled
No
kalshi

Nico Collins

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$134
N/A
N/A
$129
Settled
No
kalshi

Puka Nacua

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
kalshi

Ja'Marr Chase

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$84
N/A
N/A
$69
Settled
No
kalshi

Denzel Boston

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19
N/A
N/A
$19
Settled
No
kalshi

Zay Flowers

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Olave

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Parker Washington

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Garrett Wilson

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Justin Jefferson

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tee Higgins

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Drake London

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Davante Adams

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Christian Watson

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jalen Coker

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

George Pickens

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Wilson

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Rashee Rice

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Malik Nabers

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Mike Evans

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

DJ Moore

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

DeVonta Smith

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 43

Description

This market determines which wide receiver will achieve the highest fantasy points in a specific week of the NFL season using a standard scoring system. The outcome is based solely on individual player performance, with points awarded for various statistical categories achieved during the designated game week.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on Sleeper's total full-PPR fantasy points for Week 4 of the 2026 NFL regular season, including overtime. Each market specifies a particular wide receiver; if that player finishes with the highest points among all WRs for that week, the market resolves to Yes. Rankings include all eligible WRs, even those without a listed market. Players who do not participate in Week 4 are considered to have scored zero points. If multiple players tie for the highest points, the market resolves to 1/N where N equals the number of tied players, with no holder receiving $1 minus the Yes payout. Points are calculated using Sleeper’s default full-PPR scoring system, which awards points for passing, rushing, receiving, kicking, defensive/special teams performances, and individual player special teams/fumbles as detailed in the scoring format.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Week 4 WR fantasy market tracks the current odds for each wide receiver to lead in fantasy points, along with a price history showing how those odds have changed over time. You can also see the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $94, and the total volume traded to date, which is $1,446. This provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likelihood of different players performing well in Week 4 of the NFL season.

Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of how each type of market operates. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding player performance.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in whether a particular wide receiver will be the top performer. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic assessment of each player's potential for success in Week 4. The market efficiently incorporates new data and opinions.

This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official fantasy point totals for each wide receiver in Week 4 of the NFL season, as calculated by a major fantasy football provider. The player with the highest verified fantasy point total will be declared the winner of this market. The resolution process ensures an objective and transparent determination of the outcome.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports are a major catalyst; news of a key injury to a top wide receiver would likely shift probabilities. Changes in quarterback performance or offensive strategies could also influence expectations. Unexpected matchups or weather conditions impacting passing games could also move the market. Finally, any significant news regarding player health, personal issues, or coaching decisions could all contribute to shifts in trading activity and price adjustments within this market.