TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Worthing and Solihull in the English National League. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. The event covers three possible outcomes: a win for either team or a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Worthing vs Solihull professional English National League soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to the possible outcomes: Worthing win, Solihull win, or a tie. If the match concludes with Worthing scoring more goals than Solihull within regular time, the Worthing market resolves positively. Conversely, if Solihull scores more goals, their market resolves positively. If both teams score an equal number of goals, the Tie market resolves positively. All markets explicitly exclude extra time and penalty shootouts from consideration. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess the probability of an outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, with this market sometimes showing higher or lower probabilities for certain results than those implied by sportsbook lines. It's important to remember that both represent beliefs about the likelihood of events, but they are formed through different mechanisms and may appeal to different types of participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the collective belief of the traders regarding the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they will bid up the price of the corresponding contract, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the most up-to-date assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Worthing vs Solihull match, as reported by a trusted sporting news source. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team form, player injuries, or changes in coaching staff for either Worthing or Solihull could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on the day of the match could also play a role, as could major tactical changes announced by either team. Furthermore, public perception and media coverage leading up to the match can impact trading volume and price discovery in this market, potentially creating opportunities for informed traders.