TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 9:48 PM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes the Swiss Stage of the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026) with a 3-0 match record, meaning it wins each of its first three Swiss Stage matches. Worlds 2026 is currently scheduled for October 15 to November 14, 2026, with the Swiss Stage scheduled for October 23 to October 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Match records count series results, not individual games: each Swiss Stage match counts once, whether it is played as a Bo1 or a Bo3. Forfeits and other administrative results count as officially recorded by Riot Games. If the listed team loses any Swiss Stage match, does not compete in the Swiss Stage (e.g. it is eliminated in the Play-In), or it otherwise becomes impossible for the listed team to finish the Swiss Stage 3-0, the associated market will resolve to "No". If Worlds 2026 is canceled, postponed after December 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Swiss Stage results have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/World_Championship/2026) may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes the Swiss Stage of the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026) with a 3-0 match record, meaning it wins each of its first three Swiss Stage matches. Worlds 2026 is currently scheduled for October 15 to November 14, 2026, with the Swiss Stage scheduled for October 23 to October 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Match records count series results, not individual games: each Swiss Stage match counts once, whether it is played as a Bo1 or a Bo3. Forfeits and other administrative results count as officially recorded by Riot Games. If the listed team loses any Swiss Stage match, does not compete in the Swiss Stage (e.g. it is eliminated in the Play-In), or it otherwise becomes impossible for the listed team to finish the Swiss Stage 3-0, the associated market will resolve to "No". If Worlds 2026 is canceled, postponed after December 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Swiss Stage results have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/World_Championship/2026) may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially when looking further out from the event. This is because prediction markets harness the wisdom of the crowd, aggregating information from a diverse range of participants. While sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and biases, this market allows anyone to express their opinion, leading to a more refined probability assessment. However, it’s important to note that sportsbooks may adjust their odds closer to the event, potentially narrowing the gap with this market’s implied probabilities.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each team's chance of winning 3-0 in the Swiss Stage. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling shares drives the price down. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Dec 15, 2026, following the completion of the Swiss Stage at Worlds 2026. The outcome will be determined by the official results of the tournament, specifically which teams achieved a 3-0 victory in their Swiss Stage matches. The resolution will be verified against credible public reporting of the official match results. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted which teams would win 3-0, based on the final odds at the time of resolution.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Major roster changes for key teams, unexpected tournament upsets in preliminary stages, or even announcements regarding player health and form could all shift trader sentiment. Performance in regional qualifiers leading up to Worlds 2026 will also be closely watched. Any news that alters perceptions of a team’s strength or their potential path through the Swiss Stage is likely to cause fluctuations in the odds. Keep an eye on professional analysts' predictions and community discussions for further insights.