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410,482
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Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 6:41 PM EST
Polymarket
This group of markets asks whether specific League of Legends teams will lose all three of their matches in the Swiss Stage of the 2026 World Championship. A 'Yes' resolution requires a team to be eliminated after a 0-3 record in the Swiss Stage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes the Swiss Stage of the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026) with a 0-3 match record, meaning it loses each of its first three Swiss Stage matches and is eliminated. Worlds 2026 is currently scheduled for October 15 to November 14, 2026, with the Swiss Stage scheduled for October 23 to October 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Match records count series results, not individual games: each Swiss Stage match counts once, whether it is played as a Bo1 or a Bo3. Forfeits and other administrative results count as officially recorded by Riot Games. If the listed team wins any Swiss Stage match, does not compete in the Swiss Stage (e.g. it is eliminated in the Play-In), or it otherwise becomes impossible for the listed team to finish the Swiss Stage 0-3, the associated market will resolve to "No". If Worlds 2026 is canceled, postponed after December 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Swiss Stage results have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/World_Championship/2026) may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes the Swiss Stage of the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026) with a 0-3 match record, meaning it loses each of its first three Swiss Stage matches and is eliminated. Worlds 2026 is currently scheduled for October 15 to November 14, 2026, with the Swiss Stage scheduled for October 23 to October 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Match records count series results, not individual games: each Swiss Stage match counts once, whether it is played as a Bo1 or a Bo3. Forfeits and other administrative results count as officially recorded by Riot Games. If the listed team wins any Swiss Stage match, does not compete in the Swiss Stage (e.g. it is eliminated in the Play-In), or it otherwise becomes impossible for the listed team to finish the Swiss Stage 0-3, the associated market will resolve to "No". If Worlds 2026 is canceled, postponed after December 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Swiss Stage results have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/World_Championship/2026) may also be used.
Prices on Polymarket and Predict for this market can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and risk appetite, which influences how probabilities are assessed. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Additionally, different platforms may have varying levels of liquidity for specific outcomes, leading to price discrepancies. For example, if there's significantly more trading volume on Polymarket for a particular team going 0-3, the price there might be more sensitive to new information than on Predict. These differences reflect the independent price discovery processes on each platform.
Several signals and events could significantly impact this market. Major roster changes for teams competing in Worlds 2026, especially if key players are replaced, could shift expectations. Unexpected results in regional qualifiers or other pre-Worlds tournaments could also influence the perceived strength of different teams. In-game performance during the Swiss Stage itself, such as early upsets or dominant performances, will be major catalysts. Finally, any news regarding player health, team morale, or strategic shifts could all contribute to price movements in this market.