TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 10:08 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Luke Humphries and James Wade in the World Grand Prix, originally scheduled for October 3 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luke Humphries' if Luke Humphries wins against James Wade. This market will resolve to 'James Wade' if James Wade wins against Luke Humphries. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official PDC results.
This market refers to the darts match between Luke Humphries and James Wade in the World Grand Prix, originally scheduled for October 3 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luke Humphries' if Luke Humphries wins against James Wade. This market will resolve to 'James Wade' if James Wade wins against Luke Humphries. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official PDC results.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by the willingness of traders to buy or sell based on their individual assessments. Generally, you may find that prediction markets incorporate information and perspectives not fully captured by sportsbooks, potentially leading to different probabilities assigned to various outcomes. It's useful to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, reflecting the evolving consensus. The current price indicates the market’s assessment of the likelihood of a particular result in the Humphries vs Wade match.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the World Grand Prix match between Luke Humphries and James Wade, as declared by the governing body of professional darts. The market will determine which competitor emerged victorious in the match, and that result will be used to settle all outstanding shares. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be finalized.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even comments from the players themselves, could also shift market sentiment. Additionally, large trades by influential market participants could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on potential opportunities before the match concludes.