This event group covers the Women's Ice Hockey knockout game between Switzerland and Sweden scheduled for the 2026 Winter Olympics on February 19, 2026. Both Polymarket and Kalshi are offering prediction markets on the outcome of this single match, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both Switzerland win and Sweden win are stated to resolve to Yes, which is impossible for a binary outcome and renders the market unresolvable.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version until the platform corrects the resolution logic. Use Polymarket's market, which has clear, mutually exclusive outcomes (Switzerland or Sweden) and explicit edge-case handling.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Binary resolution with clear mutual exclusivity: Switzerland win resolves to Switzerland, Sweden win resolves to Sweden. Includes explicit edge cases: postponement keeps market open until completion; cancellation with no make-up resolves 50-50. Shootout winner gets one goal added to final score.
Kalshi: Logical contradiction detected. Market states: If Switzerland wins, resolves to Yes. If Sweden wins, resolves to Yes. Both mutually exclusive outcomes cannot both resolve to the same value (Yes), creating an unresolvable market structure.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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