TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Women's Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win Women's Ballon d'Or?

Volume:
$204,457

Alexia Putellas

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 8:36 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Alexia Putellas

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$74,640
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alexia Putellas

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$32,782
N/A
N/A
$25,525
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alex Greenwood

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,552
N/A
N/A
$20,548
Settled
No
kalshi

Scarlett Camberos

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,955
N/A
N/A
$14,836
Settled
No
kalshi

Ewa Pajor

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,773
N/A
N/A
$11,691
Settled
No
polymarket

Ewa Pajor

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,878
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Clàudia Pina

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,516
N/A
N/A
$5,103
Settled
No
polymarket

Claudia Pina

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,736
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Melchie Dumornay

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,835
N/A
N/A
$3,467
Settled
No
polymarket

Patri Guijarro

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,839
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Patri Guijarro

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$341
N/A
N/A
$341
Settled
No
polymarket

Alessia Russo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,540
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Alessia Russo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$979
N/A
N/A
$979
Settled
No
polymarket

Caroline Graham Hansen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,470
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Caroline Graham Hansen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$109
N/A
N/A
$109
Settled
No
polymarket

Klara Buhl

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,197
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Klara Bühl

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Temwa Chawinga

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,055
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Temwa Chawinga

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
$55
Settled
No
polymarket

Aitana Bonmati

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,504
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Khadija Shaw

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,435
N/A
N/A
$1,431
Settled
No
polymarket

Lea Schuller

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,138
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Mariona Caldentey

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,029
N/A
N/A
$1,029
Settled
No
polymarket

Mariona Caldentey

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$607
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Vicky Lopez

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$641
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 71

Description

This prediction group concerns the winner of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or award, recognizing the best female football player of the year. The markets ask forecasters to predict which player will receive this prestigious individual honor.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi limits the potential winners to a predefined list, while Polymarket includes an 'Other' option and a set of 'Player' options, allowing for a wider range of possible outcomes.Hero tip: Prioritize trading players listed on both platforms. Be aware that a player not listed on Kalshi, but listed on Polymarket, could win and resolve 'Other' on Polymarket, but would be a loss on Kalshi.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the official winner announced by France Football, including an 'Other' option if the winner is not listed. The market will resolve to 'Other' if no winner is announced by December 31, 2026. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve according to the player who is officially named the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or winner.'
  • Kalshi: Resolves 'Yes' if a specific listed player wins the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or. No 'Other' option exists. Key Quote: 'If Selma Bacha wins 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or for 2025-26 season (2026 award), then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the player who is officially named the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or winner. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If no 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or winner is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Selma Bacha wins 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or for 2025-26 season (2026 award), then the market resolves to Yes. If Barbra Banda wins 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or for 2025-26 season (2026 award), then the market resolves to Yes. If Esmee Brugts wins 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or for 2025-26 season (2026 award), then the market resolves to Yes. If Klara Bühl wins 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or for 2025-26 season (2026 award), then the market resolves to Yes. If Mariona Caldentey wins 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or for 2025-26 season (2026 award), then the market resolves to Yes. If Scarlett Camberos wins 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or for 2025-26 season (2026 award), then the market resolves to Yes. If Kerstin Casparij wins 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or for 2025-26 season (2026 award), then the market resolves to Yes. If Temwa Chawinga wins 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or for 2025-26 season (2026 award), then the market resolves to Yes. If Cata Coll wins 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or for 2025-26 season (2026 award), then the market resolves to Yes. If Melchie Dumornay wins 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or for 2025-26 season (2026 award), then the market resolves to Yes. If Caroline Graham Hansen wins 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or for 2025-26 season (2026 award), then the market resolves to Yes. If Alex Greenwood wins 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or for 2025-26 season (2026 award), then the market resolves to Yes. If Patri Guijarro wins 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or for 2025-26 season (2026 award), then the market resolves to Yes. If Pernille Harder wins 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or for 2025-26 season (2026 award), then the market resolves to Yes. If Yui Hasegawa wins 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or for 2025-26 season (2026 award), then the market resolves to Yes. If Rose Lavelle wins 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or for 2025-26 season (2026 award), then the market resolves to Yes. If Mapi León wins 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or for 2025-26 season (2026 award), then the market resolves to Yes. If Lorena wins 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or for 2025-26 season (2026 award), then the market resolves to Yes. If Melvine Malard wins 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or for 2025-26 season (2026 award), then the market resolves to Yes. If Manaka Matsukubo wins 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or for 2025-26 season (2026 award), then the market resolves to Yes. If Vivianne Miedema wins 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or for 2025-26 season (2026 award), then the market resolves to Yes. If Ewa Pajor wins 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or for 2025-26 season (2026 award), then the market resolves to Yes. If Clàudia Pina wins 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or for 2025-26 season (2026 award), then the market resolves to Yes. If Alexia Putellas wins 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or for 2025-26 season (2026 award), then the market resolves to Yes. If Wendie Renard wins 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or for 2025-26 season (2026 award), then the market resolves to Yes. If Alessia Russo wins 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or for 2025-26 season (2026 award), then the market resolves to Yes. If Khadija Shaw wins 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or for 2025-26 season (2026 award), then the market resolves to Yes. If Momoko Tanikawa wins 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or for 2025-26 season (2026 award), then the market resolves to Yes. If Caroline Weir wins 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or for 2025-26 season (2026 award), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tessa Wullaert wins 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or for 2025-26 season (2026 award), then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prices for this market on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading limits, and fee structure, all of which can influence price discovery. Differences in liquidity – the volume of traders actively participating – can also create price discrepancies. Furthermore, differing interpretations of news and events related to potential winners can lead to varied probabilities. While both platforms address the same question, these factors contribute to the observed price variations in the Women's Ballon d'Or market.