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Women's Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026
polymarket

Who will finish in the Women's Ballon d'Or Top 5?

Volume:
$32,277

Alexia Putellas

 - Polymarket

Alexia Putellas - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 8:41 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Alexia Putellas

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,032
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
Yes
polymarket

Melchie Dumornay

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,890
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
Yes
polymarket

Ewa Pajor

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,812
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
Yes
polymarket

Patri Guijarro

View
100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$370
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
Yes
polymarket

Khadija Shaw

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$236
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
Yes
polymarket

Selma Bacha

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,004
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Wendie Renard

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,552
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Tessa Wullaert

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,552
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Scarlett Camberos

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,496
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Manaka Matsukubo

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,373
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Cata Coll

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,364
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Caroline Weir

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,300
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Barbra Banda

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,298
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Yui Hasegawa

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,275
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Mariona Caldentey

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,204
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Alessia Russo

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,112
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Vivianne Miedema

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,099
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Alex Greenwood

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,056
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Momoko Tanikawa

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,040
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Lorena

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$996
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Rose Lavelle

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$903
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Esmee Brugts

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$902
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Kerstin Casparij

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$876
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Pernille Harder

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$876
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Klara Buhl

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$771
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
Total markets: 25 of 30

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 of the official 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If more than 5 players tie for the top 5 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 5 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final five places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Women's Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 of the official 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If more than 5 players tie for the top 5 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 5 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final five places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Women's Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, and risk assessments. For example, if a player is gaining momentum but isn't yet widely recognized by sportsbooks, their odds in this market may adjust faster. It's a fascinating comparison to observe how each assesses the likelihood of different players achieving a top 5 finish.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether a particular player will finish in the top 5 of the Women's Ballon d'Or. As more shares are purchased for a specific player, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability of success. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand, with traders constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis. The current market price for each player represents the market's aggregated forecast.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, following the official announcement of the Women's Ballon d'Or award recipients. The outcome will be determined by the official top 5 finishers as announced by France Football, the organizers of the Ballon d'Or. The outcome is verified against credible public reporting of the official results. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome and their positions in this market. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on an authoritative source.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before the resolution date. Strong performances in major international tournaments, such as the Olympics or Women's World Cup, could elevate a player's profile and increase their chances. Individual awards and accolades, like winning league titles or being named player of the year, would also be influential. Injuries to key competitors could shift probabilities, as could any significant changes in team dynamics or coaching staff. Unexpected retirements or transfers could also create volatility in this market, as traders reassess the landscape.