TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a soccer match between Wolverhampton and Watford. It evaluates whether the combined goals from both teams exceed specific thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout results.
The event assesses multiple markets based on the total goals scored in the Wolverhampton vs Watford EFL Championship match scheduled for October 24, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the cumulative goals scored by both teams must exceed the respective threshold within the 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootout goals are explicitly excluded from all calculations. All markets share the same underlying match and time parameters, ensuring consistency across thresholds. The resolution solely depends on the official match result as recorded by the governing league, with no affiliation or endorsement implied by the platform hosting the event.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market’s pricing is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of various outcomes. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will adjust accordingly, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of the true probability. Discrepancies can emerge due to differing information access and analytical approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes in the Wolverhampton vs Watford match. The price of each contract indicates the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective forecast. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the final total goals and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Wolverhampton vs Watford match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Wolverhampton or Watford would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected scoring rate. Furthermore, any updates on team formations or tactical approaches revealed before the match could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected news regarding referee assignments or stadium conditions could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.