TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
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2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 1:06 PM EST
Kalshi
The match between Wolverhampton and Cardiff will test both teams' offensive capabilities under pressure. A decisive victory for either side could significantly impact league standings and momentum.
The market resolves based on the margin of victory in the Wolverhampton vs Cardiff EFL Championship game scheduled for October 31, 2026. If Wolverhampton wins by more than 2.5 goals, the first market resolves to Yes. If Wolverhampton wins by more than 1.5 goals (but not exceeding 2.5), the second market resolves to Yes. If Cardiff wins by more than 1.5 goals (but not exceeding 2.5), the third market resolves to Yes. Finally, if Cardiff wins by more than 2.5 goals, the fourth market resolves to Yes. All outcomes are determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. Therefore, you may find that the implied probability of an outcome in this market diverges from sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. It's valuable to compare both to gain a broader understanding of potential outcomes for the Wolverhampton vs Cardiff match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread in the Wolverhampton vs Cardiff match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price will adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price indicates what traders are collectively willing to pay for a contract predicting a specific spread.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Wolverhampton vs Cardiff match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sporting body, and the contracts will pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the ranges defined by the market contracts. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts on Kalshi following the completion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 31, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Wolverhampton or Cardiff would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or managerial decisions could also shift expectations. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of different spread outcomes has the potential to move this market.