TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 4:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an EFL Championship soccer match between Wolverhampton and Bolton, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates multiple potential outcomes of the Wolverhampton vs Bolton EFL Championship soccer match scheduled for October 13, 2026, each defined by a specific goal-differential threshold for either team to win by. All markets resolve based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty shootouts. If Wolverhampton wins by more than 2.5 goals, the first market resolves to Yes. If Wolverhampton wins by more than 1.5 goals (but not more than 2.5), the second market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Bolton wins by more than 1.5 goals, the third market resolves to Yes, and if Bolton wins by more than 2.5 goals, the fourth market resolves to Yes. Each market is independent, and only the condition specified in its primary rule determines its resolution. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregate belief of informed traders. Frequently, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls or even initial sportsbook lines, as they incentivize participants to be well-informed. However, sportsbook odds can still be useful for comparison, offering a different perspective on the potential outcome of the Wolverhampton vs Bolton match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes for the Wolverhampton vs Bolton match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information, leading to dynamic price movements. This creates a real-time assessment of the perceived likelihood of each possible spread, offering a unique view compared to static odds.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Wolverhampton vs Bolton match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the governing body of the league. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predicted spread matches the actual result. The market’s resolution is independent of any pre-match analysis or predictions, relying solely on the official outcome of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 14, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Wolverhampton or Bolton would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or coaching changes could also shift the market. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of different spread outcomes has the potential to move this market.