TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 4:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Wolverhampton and Bolton, focusing on determining whether Wolverhampton, Bolton, or neither (a tie) secures a victory within the standard game duration. The resolution depends solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Market outcomes reflect the precise result of the match as it concludes in regulation time.
The event resolves based on the result of the Wolverhampton vs Bolton professional EFL Championship soccer match scheduled for October 13, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Wolverhampton wins, the 'Wolverhampton' market resolves to Yes. If Bolton wins, the 'Bolton' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event exclusively considers the result within regulation time, with no account for post-regulation deciding factors such as extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs about the Wolverhampton vs Bolton match. It’s common to see discrepancies, as prediction markets can sometimes incorporate information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms, or react more quickly to breaking news and changing circumstances. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Wolverhampton vs Bolton match. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adjust to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the match.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Wolverhampton vs Bolton match, as reported by a widely recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the process is complete.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact the odds. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or tactical changes could also cause significant movement. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in sentiment, prompting others to adjust their positions in this market for the Wolverhampton vs Bolton match. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential price fluctuations.