TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 9:54 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance gap between Wofford and Samford in their college football matchup. Outcomes depend on the point differential, reflecting either a dominant Wofford victory or a decisive Samford win.
All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the Wofford vs Samford college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. If Wofford wins by exceeding the specified margin, corresponding 'Wofford wins by over X points' markets resolve to Yes; if Samford wins by exceeding their specified margin, those markets resolve to Yes. All markets remain active if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time. If the game does not commence within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance betting action and ensure profitability, while this market relies on individuals predicting the actual outcome. Therefore, discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of team strengths. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges closer to the game date. Examining the differences can offer valuable insights into public perception versus professional analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Wofford vs Samford game. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price discovery process is driven by supply and demand, with traders expressing their beliefs about the game's outcome through their trading activity. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of the market's expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Wofford vs Samford game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college basketball. The contract corresponding to the actual point spread will pay out $100, while all other contracts will settle to $0. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the market’s resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game takes place. Key injuries to star players on either the Wofford or Samford teams would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected coaching changes, significant shifts in team performance during recent games, or even changes in weather forecasts (if the game is outdoors) could also impact trading activity. Public sentiment, reflected in news reports and social media, can also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly. Any major news related to the teams will likely move this market.