TOTAL VOLUME:
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 6:10 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the potential margin of victory in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively one team might win over the other. The outcomes depend entirely on the final score difference between the two teams when the game concludes.
All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the Wofford vs Furman college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. If Furman wins by a margin exceeding the specified threshold—for example, more than 27.5, 23.5, 19.5, 15.5, 11.5, 7.5, or 3.5 points—the corresponding "Yes" outcome triggers. Conversely, if Wofford wins by a margin exceeding thresholds such as 1.5, 4.5, 8.5, 12.5, 16.5, or 20.5 points, the respective market resolves to "Yes." Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this window, all markets settle at a fair price, reflecting the uncertainty and preventing unresolved bets.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome of the game. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently as new information becomes available, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities than those offered by sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Wofford vs Furman game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread being the final result. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices that accurately reflect their beliefs about the game's outcome, as they profit from correctly predicting the spread. As more traders participate, the market price converges towards a collective assessment of the likely result, making it a dynamic and informative indicator.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Wofford vs Furman game. The market will settle to 100 if the actual spread falls within the range of contracts offered, and to 0 for any contracts outside that range. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will lose their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game takes place. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Wofford or Furman teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift the market. Unexpected coaching announcements or significant shifts in public perception, as reflected in other polls or analyses, could also contribute to price movements. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning by a certain margin has the potential to move this market.