TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 9:44 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Donovan Mitchell will achieve over or under 1.5 steals in the Wizards versus Cavaliers NBA game. Currently, the Polymarket market gives a 100.0% probability to Donovan Mitchell exceeding 1.5 steals. Resolution will be based on official statistics reported by https://www.nba.com/. Keep a close watch on the game itself, scheduled for October 28 at 7:00PM ET, as the outcome will depend on Mitchell’s performance during that fixture.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 28 at 7:00PM ET: If the Wizards win, the market will resolve to "Wizards". If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the wisdom of the crowd on Polymarket, aims to reflect the true probability of outcomes as perceived by traders. While sportsbook odds can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and promotional offers, this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the Wizards-Cavaliers game. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or analytical approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome for the Wizards-Cavaliers game. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of shares is determined by supply and demand, with traders effectively betting against each other. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, providing a forward-looking assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Wizards-Cavaliers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. The market will determine which outcome – a win for the Wizards or a win for the Cavaliers – occurred. All outstanding shares will be settled based on the verified final result, and traders will receive payouts accordingly. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions for either the Wizards or the Cavaliers could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even shifts in public perception based on sports analysis, could also drive price movements. Major announcements related to team strategy or player availability, leading up to Oct 28, 2026, are likely to be key catalysts for changes in this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how the market evolves.