TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Wizards vs. Cavaliers
Volume:
$5,041,722
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 12 at 6:00PM ET: If the Wizards win, the market will resolve to "Wizards". If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline markets resolve YES for both possible outcomes (Washington wins OR Cleveland wins), creating a logical contradiction that makes these markets fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures its markets with mutually exclusive outcomes (Wizards vs. Cavaliers, spreads, totals).Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's moneyline markets entirely — they are logically broken and will resolve YES regardless of the game result. Trade only Polymarket's markets, which have proper binary or multi-outcome structures. If you hold Kalshi positions, seek clarification or withdrawal before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline markets (items 1-2) state 'If Washington wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Cleveland wins... then the market resolves to Yes,' meaning the market resolves YES for every possible outcome. This is a logical contradiction that violates basic binary market structure. All other Polymarket markets correctly use mutually exclusive outcomes.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard prediction market logic: Polymarket structures all markets with mutually exclusive outcomes. The moneyline resolves to either 'Wizards' or 'Cavaliers' (not both), spreads resolve to 'Cavaliers' or 'Wizards' based on margin thresholds, and totals resolve to 'Over' or 'Under' based on combined score. All resolution criteria are logically sound and internally consistent.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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