TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 9:14 AM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Wisla Plock and GKS Piast Gliwice scheduled for October 31, 2026. Markets exist for Wisla Plock winning, GKS Piast Gliwice winning, and the game ending in a draw.
This event is for the upcoming Poland Ekstraklasa game, scheduled for Saturday, October 31, 2026 between Wisla Plock and GKS Piast Gliwice.
The event determines the result of the Wisla Plock vs Gliwice professional Ekstraklasa soccer match scheduled for October 31, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Wisla Plock, a win for Gliwice, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following predefined procedures. The event explicitly excludes extra time and penalty shootouts in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing risk, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment diverges from expert opinion. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team statistics, this market can quickly adjust to incorporate new information or unexpected developments, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Polish Ekstraklasa. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can lead to greater price volatility. Furthermore, the specific market structures and fee schedules on Polymarket and Kalshi may influence trading behavior. These factors contribute to the observed price discrepancies in this market, even though both platforms are tracking the same underlying event.