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410,833

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4,363

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5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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63%

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Wisla Krakow vs. KS Cracovia Krakow
🌟New
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Wisla Krakow vs. KS Cracovia Krakow?

Total volume:
$51
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$5,458
84%
Open interest:
$51
0%
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a Poland Ekstraklasa soccer match between Wisla Krakow and KS Cracovia Krakow, scheduled for November 6, 2026. Markets ask whether Wisla Krakow will win, KS Cracovia Krakow will win, or the game will end in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket includes a specific no-result provision for cancellation or abandonment, resolving to 'No' for win markets and 'Yes' for draw markets, while Kalshi lacks this provision and relies solely on the outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time or any awarded result.Hero tip: Consider the risk of cancellation or abandonment when trading on these markets. Polymarket markets offer a degree of protection against these scenarios, while Kalshi markets are more exposed.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolution is based on the outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, but includes a no-result provision: cancellation, non-start, or abandonment before a result is determined resolves to 'No' for win markets and 'Yes' for draw markets. Source: https://ekstraklasa.org/
  • Kalshi: Resolution is based solely on the outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or any awarded result. No explicit no-result provision is mentioned. Source: N/A (implicitly relies on standard soccer rules)
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Poland Ekstraklasa game between Wisla Krakow and KS Cracovia Krakow, originally scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of a professional Ekstraklasa soccer match between Wisla Krakow and Cracovia Krakow scheduled for November 6, 2026, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for Wisla Krakow, a win for Cracovia Krakow, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team securing a victory within regular time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after the same duration, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the defined procedures. The resolution strictly excludes extra time and penalty shootout results.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the Krakow derby. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $51, with $51 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to see how the market is pricing the probability of different results in this highly anticipated match. The dashboard aggregates data from both venues to present a comprehensive overview of predictions for the game, offering insight into the collective wisdom of the crowd regarding the Krakow derby.

Prediction market odds, as reflected in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and profit margins, while prediction markets allow anyone to trade on their beliefs. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, as a larger and more diverse group of participants contributes to the pricing. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes move more quickly in response to breaking news or significant betting action. It’s also common to see differences in the specific outcomes offered; this market focuses on the outright winner, while sportsbooks may offer a wider range of wagers.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi can occur due to variations in trader demographics, differing market-making activity, and the specific incentives offered on each platform. Polymarket currently favors Will Wisla Krakow win on 2026-11-06? at 53.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Wisla Krakow wins at 62.0%. These differences reflect the unique risk appetites and information sets of the traders participating on each exchange, leading to potentially divergent price discovery for this market.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Wisla Krakow versus KS Cracovia Krakow match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The outcome will be determined by the official result published by the league organizers, and verified against credible public sources. Trading will cease once the match concludes and the official result is available, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process for all participants in this market.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 6, 2026. Any significant news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially favoring one team over the other. Furthermore, major tactical announcements or shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in social media or sports news, could all contribute to price movements. A strong performance by either team in a preceding match could also influence traders’ beliefs and alter the probabilities reflected in this market.