TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 8:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game between Wisconsin and UCLA. It includes scenarios where either team scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown during the entire match, including overtime periods. The outcome depends purely on the game's live progression and scoring events.
The event determines which team scores the first touchdown in the Wisconsin vs. UCLA college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026, with three possible outcomes: UCLA scores first, Wisconsin scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown at all. All types of touchdowns—offensive, defensive, and special teams—are counted, including those scored in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains active and resolves based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. The markets are independent of any official NCAA affiliation, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid and ask for contracts representing each team scoring first. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood of each team scoring the first touchdown. The market dynamically adjusts to incorporate new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the team that is officially recorded as scoring the first touchdown in the Wisconsin vs UCLA game will determine the winning outcome. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to verify the result. The market will then settle based on which team achieved this milestone first.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Wisconsin or UCLA would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that might favor a passing or running game, could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, pre-game analysis from sports analysts and any late-breaking news about team strategies or matchups could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market as traders react to new information.