TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

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40,408

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

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Wisconsin vs UCLA: First Team to Score a TD
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What is the result of Wisconsin vs UCLA?

Volume:
$7,533

UCLA

 - Kalshi

UCLA - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 8:27 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

UCLA

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,835
N/A
N/A
$4,845
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Wisconsin

0%
59%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,646
N/A
N/A
$1,379
Settled
No
kalshi

No team

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
$53
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This market focuses on predicting which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game between Wisconsin and UCLA. It includes scenarios where either team scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown during the entire match, including overtime periods. The outcome depends purely on the game's live progression and scoring events.

Kalshi

The event determines which team scores the first touchdown in the Wisconsin vs. UCLA college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026, with three possible outcomes: UCLA scores first, Wisconsin scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown at all. All types of touchdowns—offensive, defensive, and special teams—are counted, including those scored in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains active and resolves based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. The markets are independent of any official NCAA affiliation, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Wisconsin vs UCLA first TD market displays the current price of each team to score the first touchdown, along with a price history chart showing how those prices have fluctuated over time. You can also see the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $7,419, and the total overall volume traded in this market, which is $7,533. This provides a clear view of market activity and trader sentiment regarding which team is favored to reach the endzone first.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid and ask for contracts representing each team scoring first. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood of each team scoring the first touchdown. The market dynamically adjusts to incorporate new information and changing sentiment.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the team that is officially recorded as scoring the first touchdown in the Wisconsin vs UCLA game will determine the winning outcome. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to verify the result. The market will then settle based on which team achieved this milestone first.

Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Wisconsin or UCLA would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that might favor a passing or running game, could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, pre-game analysis from sports analysts and any late-breaking news about team strategies or matchups could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market as traders react to new information.