TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:18 PM EST
Polymarket
This group covers a college football game between Wisconsin and UCLA, offering markets on the game's outcome, point spreads, over/under totals for points scored, team performance, and various in-game events. The markets provide opportunities to predict both the winner and specific statistical achievements during the game.
In the upcoming college football game between Wisconsin and UCLA, scheduled for October 17 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Wisconsin" if Wisconsin win the game. This market will resolve to "UCLA" if UCLA win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between Wisconsin and UCLA, scheduled for October 17 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Wisconsin" if Wisconsin win the game. This market will resolve to "UCLA" if UCLA win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, like those reflected in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources of participants. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction market participants are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets incorporating information more quickly and efficiently, potentially offering a more accurate reflection of true probabilities. However, sportsbooks have limitations on market-making that prediction markets do not, and may offer different types of wagers. This market provides a unique perspective compared to conventional betting venues.
Prices on Polymarket and Predict for this market may diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information, leading to different interpretations of the likely outcome. Trading mechanisms and fee structures also differ, impacting price discovery. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Wisconsin at a chance of 99%, while Predict leans toward Wisconsin vs. UCLA. These discrepancies reflect the independent price-setting processes on each platform and the unique perspectives of their traders.