TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 8:08 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various thresholds of points scored in the first quarter of a college football game between Wisconsin and UCLA. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity that participants can speculate on before the game begins.
The event evaluates multiple scoring thresholds for points accumulated in the first quarter of the Wisconsin vs UCLA college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point total threshold (ranging from over 2.5 points to over 27.5 points). For any given market, if the combined score of both teams exceeds the specified threshold during the first quarter, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets exclusively consider points scored in the first quarter. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain active and resolve based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold they may have engaged with.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals freely trading contracts, potentially leading to a more accurate assessment of probabilities as new information becomes available. While sportsbooks may initially have different lines, they often adjust closer to prediction market prices as the event approaches, especially if there is significant betting activity.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total points scored in the first quarter of the Wisconsin vs UCLA game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing side will forfeit their investment. The final score will be the determining factor for settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either Wisconsin or UCLA would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift the odds. Public perception, influenced by expert analysis or social media trends, can also play a role. Finally, any significant betting activity on Kalshi itself will directly impact the price, as traders react to and anticipate the potential outcome of the Wisconsin vs UCLA 1st quarter.