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2,984,028,936

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$1,879,276,037

410,833

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40,345

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4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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37%

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Wisconsin vs UCLA: 1st Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Wisconsin vs UCLA?

Volume:
$16,932

UCLA wins by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

UCLA wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 8:08 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,766
N/A
N/A
$2,651
Settled
Yes
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,984
N/A
N/A
$3,941
Settled
No
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,667
N/A
N/A
$2,189
Settled
No
kalshi

Wisconsin wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,643
N/A
N/A
$1,208
Settled
No
kalshi

Wisconsin wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$684
N/A
N/A
$684
Settled
No
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$456
N/A
N/A
$415
Settled
No
kalshi

Wisconsin wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$350
N/A
N/A
$350
Settled
No
kalshi

Wisconsin wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$350
N/A
N/A
$350
Settled
No
kalshi

Wisconsin wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
$31
Settled
No
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 7.5 points

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This set of markets tracks the point differential between Wisconsin and UCLA exclusively within the first quarter of their scheduled college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory for either team, allowing participants to speculate on how dominant either side might be in the opening period.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first quarter of the Wisconsin vs UCLA college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team exceeds the specified point margin outlined in each individual market—ranging from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points—for either Wisconsin or UCLA. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price, ensuring equitable resolution for all participants. The markets focus exclusively on first-quarter performance, with no consideration given to later quarters or overall game outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Wisconsin vs UCLA spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the first quarter of the game. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the spread has fluctuated over time, along with the total 24-hour volume traded. Currently, the volume is $9,008, and the total volume for this market is $16,932. This allows users to gauge market sentiment and see how confidence in either team winning by a certain margin is changing as game day approaches.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading on their own predictions, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, information advantages, or simply variations in how each side assesses the likelihood of various outcomes.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the first quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as profitable trades depend on correctly predicting the outcome. As more traders participate, the market price tends to converge towards a more accurate representation of the true probability of each spread.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the actual first quarter spread of the Wisconsin vs UCLA game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by sports data providers. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The final result will be publicly available on Kalshi after verification.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Wisconsin or UCLA teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to affect the game's conditions, could also move the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as public betting trends from sportsbooks, may all contribute to shifts in the spread on Kalshi.