TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both teams in the first half of a college football game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points, allowing participants to speculate on whether the combined score will exceed various benchmarks.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the first half of the Wisconsin vs UCLA college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from 2.5 to 41.5 points); if the combined first-half score exceeds the threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored in the first half count toward resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market aggregates individual predictions. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price here will move accordingly. It’s common to see this market converge with sportsbook odds as the event approaches, but discrepancies can exist, especially early on, offering potential value for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction format, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with buyers increasing the price and sellers decreasing it, ultimately establishing a consensus view on the total points scored in the first half.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the first half of the Wisconsin vs UCLA game will be used to determine whether the total points scored were above or below the threshold represented by the market price. Official game statistics from a recognized sports data provider will serve as the definitive source for the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries to either Wisconsin or UCLA would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift the market. Furthermore, any significant public information released about team strategies or expected playing time for key players could influence traders’ predictions and, consequently, the price of this market.