TOTAL VOLUME:
$139.4b
24H VOL:
$152,239,259
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,540,891,627
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,622,981,384
471,589
Markets across
36,389
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,918
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 11:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Notre Dame will win the college football game against Wisconsin by more than 21.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to Notre Dame winning by over 21.5 points. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Wisconsin vs Notre Dame game, with resolution details found in the official game result. Participants should closely watch the game itself, as the market will resolve to Yes if Notre Dame wins by more than 41.5 points, and final resolution is estimated for September 7, 2026, the day following the originally scheduled game date.
All markets resolve based on the official final result of the Wisconsin vs Notre Dame college football game scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. For markets where Notre Dame wins by a specified margin or more, the market resolves to Yes if that condition is met; otherwise, it resolves to No. A separate market checks if Wisconsin wins by more than 1.5 points. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public perception or early betting action. Sportsbooks may also adjust their lines based on information that isn’t yet fully priced into this market. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbooks as new information becomes available and traders update their assessments of the likely outcome. Analyzing both sources can provide a more comprehensive view of expectations for the game.
This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread established by official game results will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the official results are published.
Several factors could influence this market before the game takes place. Significant news regarding player injuries to key players on either the Wisconsin or Notre Dame teams would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse playing conditions, could also shift expectations. Unexpected coaching announcements or major strategic shifts revealed by either team could also impact trading activity. Public sentiment and media coverage leading up to the game could also play a role, though the market tends to be more responsive to concrete information.