TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 3:35 PM EST
Polymarket
Exact margin markets for Wisconsin vs. Iowa.
Exact margin markets for Wisconsin vs. Iowa.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible point differential. The price of each contract reflects the probability that the actual margin will fall within that range, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a specific margin is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb. This creates a dynamic pricing system that aggregates the collective intelligence of the market participants, offering a unique perspective on the game’s potential outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point differential between Wisconsin and Iowa will be used to determine the winning contract. The result will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source. The platform will then verify the outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the margin. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Wisconsin or Iowa would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Unexpected weather forecasts, particularly if they impact passing or kicking games, could also move the market. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale might also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in sentiment, causing prices to adjust rapidly. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding the market’s movements.