TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 12:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points Wisconsin and Iowa will score together in the first quarter of their college football game. Each market has a different threshold, allowing participants to speculate on various levels of scoring intensity in the opening period.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the first quarter of the Wisconsin vs Iowa college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the combined score exceeds the specified threshold for each market (ranging from 2.5 to 27.5 points). If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold they chose.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own modeling and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade on their belief about the outcome. It’s common to see initial discrepancies, as prediction markets can incorporate information and perspectives not fully captured by traditional oddsmakers. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi tend to converge with sportsbook lines, reflecting a shared understanding of the likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the first quarter of the Wisconsin vs Iowa football game will be used to determine whether the total points scored exceeded or fell short of the relevant threshold. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either Wisconsin or Iowa would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring a high- or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Public perception, influenced by expert analysis or widespread betting patterns, can also play a role. Finally, any significant shifts in overall betting volume on Kalshi will directly affect the price discovery process for this market.