TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 1:40 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance gap between Wisconsin and Iowa in the first half of their college football game. Outcomes depend on the point difference favoring either team within the initial 30 minutes of play.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Wisconsin vs Iowa college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold, with outcomes resolving to 'Yes' if the winning team exceeds that margin in the first half. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve at a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the game’s outcome. If a significant number of traders believe the spread is mispriced by sportsbooks, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly, potentially offering an edge. However, sportsbook odds are readily available for comparison and can provide a useful benchmark when evaluating this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the Wisconsin-Iowa football spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by traders’ expectations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective intelligence of the market participants regarding the likely result of the game.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread from the Wisconsin-Iowa football game will be compared to the contract’s spread to determine winning and losing contracts. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a trusted sports data source, ensuring a fair and transparent outcome for all traders participating in this market.
Several signals could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Wisconsin or Iowa would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing or running game, could also shift expectations. Additionally, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale, as well as significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks, might impact trading volume and price fluctuations on Kalshi.