TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Wisconsin Badgers vs. USC Trojans (W)
Volume:
$113,652
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between the Wisconsin Badgers and USC Trojans scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both Wisconsin win and USC win are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses a standard binary outcome structure with no such contradiction.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi until the platform corrects the resolution logic. The market cannot distinguish between the two outcomes. Polymarket is the only reliable venue for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary outcome market with mutually exclusive resolutions. Wisconsin win resolves to Wisconsin Badgers; USC win resolves to USC Trojans. Handles postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Yes/No market with contradictory logic: both USC win and Wisconsin win are stated to resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot differentiate between outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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