TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 1:23 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction group concerns the outcome of a college basketball game between the Winthrop Eagles and the Queens (NC) Royals on November 2nd. The market resolves to whichever team wins the game, with a 50-50 split if the game is canceled without a rescheduled date.
This event is for the CBB game between Winthrop Eagles and Queens (NC) Royals on November 2 at 9:00AM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
This event is for the CBB game between Winthrop Eagles and Queens (NC) Royals on November 2 at 9:00AM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow participants to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may incorporate information not readily available to sportsbooks or be less susceptible to biases. The 24-hour volume for this market is $28,405, demonstrating active trading and evolving forecasts. It's important to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, all of which can influence price discovery. Additionally, differences in liquidity—the amount of volume traded—can lead to price discrepancies. Polymarket currently favors one outcome, while Predict leans toward another. These variations highlight the independent nature of these markets and the diverse perspectives of their traders. The differing prices reflect the unique information and beliefs held by each platform's participants regarding the Winthrop vs. Queens game.