TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Team Pursuit
Volume:
$104,516
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers prediction markets on which country will win the gold medal in Men's Team Pursuit Speed Skating at the 2026 Winter Olympics in Milano-Cortina. Both Kalshi and Polymarket offer markets on this Olympic outcome, with Kalshi listing eight specific countries and Polymarket offering a broader set of named countries plus placeholder entries.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi defines a closed set of 8 eligible countries for Yes resolution, while Polymarket includes 10 named countries, 15 undefined placeholders, and a catch-all option. The placeholder entries lack country identification, making it impossible to verify consistency or resolve markets accurately. This creates a data integrity failure on Polymarket's side.Hero Tip:
Do not trade these markets until Polymarket publishes the official country mapping for all 15 placeholders. If placeholders represent countries outside Kalshi's list (e.g., South Korea, Canada, Sweden), the platforms will have incompatible resolution logic. Request clarification from Polymarket support before committing capital.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Closed-set resolution: Yes if France, USA, Germany, China PR, Norway, Netherlands, Japan, or Italy wins gold. No other outcome is explicitly defined. Quote: 'If [country] wins the gold medal in the 2026 Winter Olympics Speed Skating Men's Team Pursuit, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Open-ended resolution with named countries (USA, Germany, Belgium, France, Norway, Japan, Poland, China, Italy, Netherlands), 15 undefined placeholders (Placeholder 1-15), and a catch-all 'someone else' option. Resolves to 'No' if participant is eliminated per IOC rules, or 'Other' if event is postponed after March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET or canceled. Quote: 'Will [Placeholder X] win the gold medal...' (identity unknown).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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