This event group covers prediction markets for the Women's Snowboard Slopestyle gold medal at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics. Both Kalshi and Polymarket offer markets on whether specific named athletes will win the gold medal, with Polymarket also including placeholder entries and a catch-all 'someone else' option. Resolution depends on the official IOC medal award at the time of the podium ceremony.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms resolve on the identical underlying fact—the identity of the gold medal winner at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Women's Snowboard Slopestyle event—using the same authoritative source (IOC) and the same temporal anchor (medal ceremony time).
Primary resolution logic:
International Olympic Committee official information (https://www.olympics.com/)
Core resolution logic:
A named athlete market resolves to Yes if and only if that athlete is awarded the gold medal in Women's Snowboard Slopestyle at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics at the time of the podium ceremony.
A named athlete market resolves to No if that athlete is eliminated, disqualified before the event, or does not win the gold medal.
Subsequent disqualifications or amendments after the medal ceremony are not considered; resolution is locked at ceremony time.
Polymarket's 'someone else' market resolves to Yes if any athlete not explicitly named in the market group wins gold.
Polymarket's placeholder entries (Placeholder 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15) represent unnamed athletes; these resolve to Yes only if the corresponding unnamed athlete wins gold.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Event cancellation or postponement: If the event is canceled or postponed after March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Polymarket markets resolve to Other. Kalshi does not explicitly specify this scenario; assume standard force majeure rules apply (likely NR or Other equivalent).
Multiple gold medals awarded: Polymarket specifies that if multiple athletes are awarded gold, the market resolves in favor of the athlete whose name comes first alphabetically. Kalshi does not address this; assume the same alphabetical tie-breaking applies for consistency.
No gold medal declared by deadline: If no gold medal is declared by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Polymarket resolves to Other. Kalshi does not specify; assume similar treatment.
Athlete becomes ineligible before competition: If a named athlete is eliminated or becomes ineligible per IOC rules before the event, their market resolves to No.
Timing:
Resolution occurs at the time of the Women's Snowboard Slopestyle podium ceremony at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics (expected February 2026). Markets are locked at ceremony time; post-ceremony amendments are not considered.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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