TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Winter Olympics 2026: Bobsled - Women's Monobob
Volume:
$132,675
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers prediction markets on who will win the gold medal in the Women's Monobob bobsled event at the 2026 Winter Olympics in Milano-Cortina. Kalshi offers a binary YES/NO market on whether any of 25 named athletes will win a medal (any color), while Polymarket offers individual gold-medal-only markets for specific athletes plus placeholder entries.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket measure different medal outcomes (any medal vs. gold only) and Polymarket contains 15 unresolvable placeholder entries with no athlete identity, making consistent cross-platform settlement impossible.Hero Tip:
Do not assume Kalshi YES equals Polymarket YES. A silver or bronze medal resolves Kalshi YES but Polymarket NO. Avoid trading Polymarket placeholder entries—they cannot be resolved without athlete names. Request clarification on placeholder identity from Polymarket before market launch.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary YES/NO on 25 named athletes winning ANY medal (gold, silver, or bronze) in Women's Monobob. Resolution is YES if any listed athlete reaches the podium in any position. No placeholders; all athletes are named.
- Polymarket: Individual YES/NO markets for GOLD MEDAL ONLY. Includes 15 named athletes plus 15 placeholder entries with no athlete identity. Placeholders cannot be resolved without athlete names. Resolution source is official IOC (olympics.com). Resolves to 'Other' if event postponed after 31-Mar-2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or no gold declared by deadline.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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