TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers prediction markets on who will win the gold medal in the Women's Mass Start speed skating event at the 2026 Winter Olympics in Milano-Cortina. Both Kalshi and Polymarket list 24 named athletes plus placeholder entries, with resolution tied to the official IOC medal award.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms use the same core logic: gold medal winner determination via official IOC records at medal ceremony time, with consistent handling of athlete elimination and disqualification timing.
Primary resolution logic:
International Olympic Committee official records (https://www.olympics.com/)Core resolution logic:
- Market resolves YES if the named athlete is awarded the gold medal in Women's Mass Start speed skating at 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics
- Resolution is determined at the time of the official medal ceremony based on IOC records
- If a listed athlete becomes ineligible per IOC rules before or during the event, the market resolves NO
- Subsequent disqualifications or amendments after the medal ceremony are not considered for resolution purposes
- If multiple athletes are awarded gold (tie), Polymarket applies alphabetical ordering by listed name; Kalshi does not address this scenario
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Event postponement after deadline: If the Women's Mass Start event is postponed after March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Polymarket resolves to Other. Kalshi does not explicitly specify resolution in this scenario.
- Event cancellation: If the event is canceled entirely, Polymarket resolves to Other. Kalshi does not explicitly specify resolution.
- No gold medal declared: If no gold medal is declared within the March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET deadline, Polymarket resolves to Other. Kalshi does not explicitly address this.
- Athlete elimination: If a listed athlete is eliminated per IOC rules, the corresponding market resolves to NO on both platforms.
- Placeholder entries: Polymarket includes 15 placeholder entries (Placeholder 1-15) and a catch-all 'someone else' option. Kalshi lists only named athletes. Placeholders will resolve based on actual medalist identity if revealed before deadline.
Timing:
Resolution occurs at the time of the official medal ceremony for the Women's Mass Start event at 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics. Polymarket applies a hard deadline of March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; if the event has not concluded by then, it resolves to Other. Kalshi does not specify a deadline.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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