TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 10:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the potential margin of victory in an upcoming NHL game between Winnipeg and St. Louis. It focuses on how many goals the winning team scores beyond the losing team, with different thresholds defining various outcomes. The event reflects the competitive balance and strategic gameplay expected in the match.
The event consists of four primary rules that collectively determine the outcome based on the goal differential in the Winnipeg vs St. Louis NHL game scheduled for October 20, 2026. If St. Louis wins by more than 2.5 goals, the first market resolves to Yes. If St. Louis wins by more than 1.5 goals, the second market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Winnipeg wins by more than 1.5 goals, the third market resolves to Yes, and if Winnipeg wins by more than 2.5 goals, the fourth market resolves to Yes. All markets share a common secondary rule: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment under unforeseen circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, potentially offering a more accurate reflection of the true probabilities as the event approaches. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a useful benchmark for comparison.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as profitable trades depend on correctly predicting the event's outcome. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the Winnipeg vs St. Louis spread.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Winnipeg vs St. Louis game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as determined by the league, and will reflect whether the actual spread fell above or below the contract price at the time of close. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Winnipeg or St. Louis teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news about player availability, or shifts in public perception based on expert analysis, are all potential catalysts. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify opportunities and adjust their positions accordingly.