TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 10:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the outcome of an NHL hockey game between Winnipeg and Pittsburgh, focusing on the margin of victory. It determines whether either team secures a win by a specific number of goals, reflecting the competitive balance and performance of both teams in the match.
The event consists of four markets, each evaluating whether Winnipeg or Pittsburgh wins the designated NHL game by a margin exceeding either 1.5 or 2.5 goals. All markets share consistent secondary rules: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, the result still applies; however, if the game is cancelled or does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price. The primary rules define specific victory margins for each team, allowing participants to bet on the extent of the win beyond just whether a team wins outright.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates opinions from many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. Examining these differences can be valuable when forming your own opinion on the likely outcome of the Winnipeg vs Pittsburgh game, but remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Winnipeg vs Pittsburgh game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of the league. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The exact payout amount is determined by the contract price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 6, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either the Winnipeg or Pittsburgh teams would likely cause significant movement. Major news regarding team strategy or coaching changes could also impact the market. Unexpected shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by analyst predictions or media coverage, could also play a role. Finally, any significant trading volume, even without a clear catalyst, can influence the price as traders react to each other's actions.