TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Over 1.5 goals scored
- Kalshi
Over 1.5 goals scored - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 22h:16m:54s
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This market assesses the total number of goals scored by both teams in a specific NHL game between Winnipeg and Montreal. Bettors predict whether the combined score will exceed various thresholds, with each threshold representing a different level of scoring intensity. The outcome depends solely on the final tally of goals from the game.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored by both teams in the Winnipeg vs Montreal NHL game scheduled for Nov 3, 2026. Goals counted include those scored during regulation time and overtime, with shootout results contributing one goal to the winning team's total. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., Over 1.5, Over 2.5, etc.), and the market resolves to 'Yes' if the combined goals exceed that threshold.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks may also adjust their lines more slowly than this market reacts to new information, such as late injury reports or changes in weather conditions. While sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market aggregates the insights of many individual traders, leading to potentially different probabilities assigned to various outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence in that result. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Winnipeg vs Montreal game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by the league and verified by Kalshi. The final score will determine which contracts pay out, and the amount paid will depend on the contract price at the time of resolution. Traders holding winning contracts will receive a payout based on their investment.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Key player injuries or suspensions for either the Winnipeg or Montreal teams would likely cause shifts in the predicted total goals. Unexpected weather conditions, such as strong winds or heavy rain, could also influence the game’s scoring potential. Late-breaking news regarding team tactics or goalkeeper changes could also move the market. Finally, any significant changes in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the teams’ offensive capabilities could affect trading activity and contract prices.