TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Montreal wins by over 1.5 goals
- Kalshi
Montreal wins by over 1.5 goals - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 22h:43m:30s
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This market assesses the margin of victory in an upcoming NHL game between Winnipeg and Montreal. It focuses on whether either team secures a win by a specific number of goals, reflecting the potential dominance of one team over the other in the contest.
The event consists of four markets, each tied to the Winnipeg vs Montreal NHL game originally scheduled for Nov 3, 2026, and each resolving based on the goal differential of the final result. Markets 1 and 2 address Montreal’s potential victory, requiring wins by more than 2.5 or more than 1.5 goals respectively, while Markets 3 and 4 address Winnipeg’s potential victory, requiring wins by more than 1.5 or more than 2.5 goals respectively. All markets share consistent secondary rules: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within that 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment under unforeseen circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, being driven by the collective predictions of traders, can sometimes provide more accurate probabilities, as it reflects the wisdom of the crowd. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and widely publicized, offering a common benchmark for comparison. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or varying levels of confidence in each team.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Winnipeg vs Montreal game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Winnipeg wins by more than the specified spread. The final result will be determined by official game statistics, and any adjustments made by the relevant league authorities. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or account for any losses based on their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, particularly Winnipeg’s quarterback or Montreal’s defensive line, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts for the game day could also shift the odds, as certain conditions may favor one team over the other. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced leading up to the game could also move this market, as traders react to the perceived impact on the game’s outcome.