TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 10:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the margin of victory in an NHL hockey game between Winnipeg and Dallas. It determines whether either team wins by a specific number of goals, reflecting the competitive balance and performance of both teams in the match.
The event consists of four markets evaluating different goal-differential thresholds for either Winnipeg or Dallas to win by in their NHL game scheduled for October 22, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team achieves the required margin of victory. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment under scheduling disruptions.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own analysis and information. As a result, you may find that the spread offered here diverges from those found at sportsbooks, potentially offering value for informed traders. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than traditional markets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Winnipeg vs Dallas spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, causing the price to fluctuate based on new information and changing sentiment. The closer we get to the game, the more volatile the price may become as uncertainty decreases and more information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final result of the Winnipeg vs Dallas game is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether Winnipeg covers the spread against Dallas as determined by official game statistics. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Winnipeg or Dallas would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to affect the game's playing conditions, could also move the market. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in other sources like sports news or analysis, might cause traders to adjust their positions. Unexpected coaching decisions or late-breaking team news could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.