TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 11:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the margin of victory in an upcoming NHL game between Winnipeg and Chicago. It determines whether either team secures a win by a specific number of goals, reflecting the potential dominance of one team over the other in the contest.
The market resolves based on the margin of victory in the Winnipeg vs Chicago NHL game originally scheduled for October 15, 2026. If Chicago wins by more than 2.5 goals, or by more than 1.5 goals, the market resolves accordingly for Chicago. Conversely, if Winnipeg wins by more than 1.5 goals, or by more than 2.5 goals, the market resolves for Winnipeg. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result still applies. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Typically, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on unique information or perspectives held by traders. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of opinions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments or the influence of public sentiment. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into the perceived probabilities of different outcomes for the Winnipeg vs Chicago game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different sides of the Winnipeg vs Chicago spread. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective predictions of the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the game gets, the more the price will likely converge towards the true outcome, as traders adjust their positions based on new information and changing expectations. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the game's projected point spread.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Winnipeg vs Chicago game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the relevant sporting authority. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news and official sources as the game approaches to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Winnipeg or Chicago teams would likely have a substantial impact. Unexpected weather conditions on game day could also shift the odds. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or breaking news, could influence trading activity and therefore the price of contracts in this market. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for anyone looking to trade or analyze the Winnipeg vs Chicago spread.