TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 3:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on the margin of victory in the Winnipeg vs Carolina NHL game. Bettors can speculate on whether Carolina wins by more than certain goal margins or if Winnipeg wins by more than specific margins.
Four markets determine whether Carolina wins by over 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or Winnipeg wins by over 1.5 or 2.5 goals in the Nov 1, 2026, NHL game. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its scheduled start time, markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. Cancellations or games not started within 48 hours result in all markets resolving to a fair price.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to continuously adjust probabilities based on new information and their own analysis. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new developments emerge leading up to the game. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can reveal where the crowd believes there's an edge or mispricing relative to the professionals, offering a unique perspective on the potential outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Winnipeg versus Carolina spread. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. These prices are determined solely by supply and demand within Kalshi, and are not influenced by external factors or other prediction markets.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Winnipeg versus Carolina game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the actual point spread achieved in the game. The market will determine which side of the spread—Winnipeg or Carolina—proved to be the correct prediction based on the official results. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Winnipeg or Carolina would likely cause price adjustments. Unexpected changes in goaltending matchups or coaching strategies could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, late-breaking reports about team morale or significant tactical shifts could move the market. Even broader factors like weather conditions, if they are expected to heavily influence the game, could play a role in how traders assess the probabilities and adjust their positions in this market.