TOTAL VOLUME:

$97.5b

24H VOL:

$263,011,100

24H TRANSACTIONS:

951,878,243

OPEN INTEREST:

$2,164,636,027

830,842

Markets across

15,124

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

974

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Watchlist
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Sports
Politics
Crypto
Elections
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Science and Technology
Entertainment
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauff
Sports
polymarket
kalshi
limitless
opinion

Who will win Muchova vs Gauff?

Total volume:
$16,307,645
Volume 24h:
$0N/A
Liquidity:
$0N/A
Open interest:
$4,978,721
0%
PredictionHero
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauff 100%
polymarket
Wimbledon: Karolina Muchova vs Cori Gauff 100%
limitless
Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauff 100%
opinion
Jul 7Jul 7Jul 8Jul 8Jul 8Jul 8Jul 8Jul 8Jul 9Jul 9Jul 9Jul 9Jul 166080100

Closed: Jul 16, 8:30 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Intro

This market tracks whether Karolina Muchova will defeat Coco Gauff in the 2026 Wimbledon Women's Singles Semifinal. Aggregated across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, and Opinion, the consensus probability for a Muchova victory stands at 100.0%. Resolution will be determined by official Wimbledon records following the match on July 9, 2026. Watch for the semifinal match outcome, as the betting window closes when the match concludes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Walkover and forfeit treatment differs across platforms. Kalshi and Limitless recognize all official winner declarations; Opinion and Polymarket split pre-match walkovers to 50-50 while accepting mid-match retirements as valid wins. Polymarket adds a separate 'Completed Match' binary that rejects all forfeits entirely.Hero tip: For maximum clarity on match completion: use Polymarket's 'Completed Match' binary (strictest—No on any forfeit). For winner prediction with walkover hedge: use Opinion or Polymarket winner market (50-50 on pre-match walkover). For most liberal winner recognition: use Limitless or Kalshi (official winner regardless of forfeit type).

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves Yes if either player wins after a ball is played. Does not explicitly address pre-match walkovers or forfeits. Quote: 'If Karolina Muchova wins the Muchova vs Gauff professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Women Singles Semifinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Limitless: Resolves to official winner under all circumstances, including walkover, retirement, withdrawal, default, or disqualification. Quote: 'For the purposes of this market, a player officially declared the winner of the match will be considered to have defeated the opponent, including in cases of walkover, retirement, withdrawal, default, or disqualification.'
  • Opinion: Resolves to 50-50 if walkover declared before first point; mid-match retirement/default counts as winner for opponent. Quote: 'If a walkover is declared before the first point is played, the match is outright canceled, or it is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.'
  • Polymarket (Winner): Resolves to advancing player on retirement/default mid-match; 50-50 on pre-match walkover or cancellation. Quote: 'If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.'
  • Polymarket (Completed Match): Binary Yes/No on full match completion. Resolves No if any forfeit occurs (walkover, retirement, default, disqualification) or if match is canceled/delayed beyond 7 days. Quote: 'This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to "No." If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve "No."'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Show more

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Karolina Muchova and Coco Gauff in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karolina Muchova' if Karolina Muchova advances against Coco Gauff. This market will resolve to 'Coco Gauff' if Coco Gauff advances against Karolina Muchova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the winner of the Muchova vs Gauff professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Women's Singles Semifinal, provided a ball is played. If the match does not occur before it starts due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or other cancellation, the market resolves to a fair price per standard rules. If the match is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Karolina Muchova" if Karolina Muchova defeats Cori Gauff in their Wimbledon match originally scheduled for July 9, 2026, 09:03 UTC. It will resolve to "Cori Gauff" if Cori Gauff defeats Karolina Muchova. For the purposes of this market, a player officially declared the winner of the match will be considered to have defeated the opponent, including in cases of walkover, retirement, withdrawal, default, or disqualification.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in margin; prediction markets rely on trader consensus, where participants directly stake capital on outcomes. This often makes prediction markets more efficient at reflecting true probability, especially for niche or specialized events. However, sportsbook odds benefit from professional oddsmakers and real-time adjustment to large bets. Comparing this market across both venues can reveal where public perception diverges from professional estimates, offering strategic insight for informed traders.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Platform differences in user base, liquidity, fee structure, and settlement rules can create price gaps. Polymarket and Kalshi may attract traders with different risk profiles or information sets, leading each to price the match outcome slightly differently. Kalshi's regulatory framework and Limitless's market design each influence how quickly new information is reflected. Monitoring these spreads helps identify arbitrage opportunities and reveals which platform's traders are more confident in a particular outcome.

Key catalysts include player injury reports, recent tournament performance, head-to-head records, and court surface suitability. Withdrawal announcements, coaching changes, or public statements from either player can trigger sharp repricing. Weather forecasts closer to match day and seeding updates may also shift trader conviction. Real-time match momentum—breaks of serve, set wins, or momentum swings during play—will drive final intraday volatility. Monitoring player social media, official tour updates, and sports news outlets helps you stay ahead of market-moving information.

Follow the signals, not the noise

Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.

Company

Brand Kit

API & Data Licensing

Methodology

Help Center

Disclaimer

Terms of Use

Privacy Policy

Contact

PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.20.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk. This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.