TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 4:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in an official league. The result is determined solely by the final score after the regulation period, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. The event provides a clear framework for resolving based on win, loss, or tie outcomes.
The event resolves based on the result of the Wimbledon vs Mansfield professional EFL League One soccer match scheduled for October 20, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome resolves for the specific market corresponding to the winning team—Wimbledon, Mansfield, or a tied result. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution strictly considers the result within regulation time, with no account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own research and insights. This can lead to situations where prediction market prices are more accurate, especially as more information becomes available and more traders participate. Discrepancies can also arise due to differing risk appetites and the incentives of each venue – sportsbooks aim to profit, while prediction markets facilitate accurate forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the latest information and sentiment. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate assessments, as they can profit from correctly predicting the outcome of the Wimbledon vs Mansfield match.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Wimbledon vs Mansfield match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the competition. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly, ensuring a transparent and reliable resolution process.
Several signals could impact this market before Oct 20, 2026. Any news regarding team form, player injuries, or changes in coaching staff for either Wimbledon or Mansfield would likely cause price movement. Unexpected weather conditions affecting the match could also be a catalyst. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can influence the price, as traders react to perceived information advantages or shifts in sentiment. Public opinion and analysis from sports commentators could also play a role, although the market’s price is ultimately determined by trading activity.