TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 2:34 PM EST
Kalshi
The match between Willem II and Cambuur will resolve multiple markets based on the total number of goals scored after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals, and the outcome depends on whether the actual total exceeds that threshold.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Willem II vs Cambuur professional Eredivisie soccer game scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market has a specific threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals), and the market resolves to Yes if the total goals exceed the respective threshold. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than sportsbook odds, which are typically set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like team news, injuries, and public betting patterns, while this market is driven by individuals’ independent assessments of the game's likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when there's considerable uncertainty surrounding the match. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of the expected result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe over 3.5 goals will be scored, they will buy contracts predicting that outcome, driving up its price. Conversely, if traders believe fewer goals will be scored, they will sell, lowering the price.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the Willem II vs Cambuur match will be used to determine the total number of goals scored. The market will settle based on the official result as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct goal total will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will not. The resolution process ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Key events include any late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Willem II or Cambuur. Changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced before the game could also shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day might also play a role, potentially affecting the style of play and goal-scoring opportunities. Finally, significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could influence trading activity and move the market.